Is pure electric car an inevitable in the future world?

Tesla's share price has exceeded the 300-mark mark recently, allowing the company's total market capitalization to reach 52.7 billion U.S. dollars, which is higher than the market value of 49.6 billion U.S. dollars for General Motors, and it will become the first car manufacturer in the United States. This phenomenon not only cheered Tesla, but also excited the world's electric vehicle industry and was full of confidence in the future.

In the past 10 years, the investment and financing of the electric vehicle industry have been mediocre. From 2010 to 2012, the annual investment amount is about 800 million US dollars. Thanks to leading companies such as Tesla, investment in the electric car industry is gradually picking up, even more so than before. By 2016, the amount of financing for the electric vehicle industry will reach nearly 2 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 100% year-on-year.

Both traditional car companies and Internet companies have vigorously developed pure electric vehicles, and electric car startup companies have mushroomed. At present, more than 200 electric automobile companies have emerged in China. The famous brands of electric vehicles led by Chinese investors include Faraday Futures, Lucid Motors, Kama Motors, and Weilai Automobile.

It seems that pure electric vehicles are not necessarily the future of the world?

Looking back at the history of the development of electric vehicles, we do not know that electric vehicles are one of the oldest cars in the world, and they are more than half a century older than the appearance of internal combustion engine cars.

From the end of the 19th century to the early 20th, compared with the internal combustion engine cars at that time, in addition to a slightly lower speed, electric cars have outstanding advantages in other aspects. For example, when the electric motor is working without noise, engine vibration and unpleasant petrol smell, In addition, the internal combustion engine vehicle must be manually controlled to start, requiring the driver to shift gears during driving, and at low speeds, the high torque output characteristics of the DC motor eliminates the need for complicated drive systems and the ease of operation.

With these advantages, electric vehicles have rapidly entered people's lives and emerged in various fields. Ancillary services and facilities have also emerged - replaced batteries, "charging piles" for electric vehicles. Technological advances made electric vehicles at the time one step ahead.

However, after the technical breakthrough of the fuel vehicle, many problems before it were solved. In terms of electric vehicles, it has entered a development bottleneck, and there has been no noticeable progress in reducing manufacturing costs and improving ease of use. In addition, the prosperous automobile market has spawned a developed road system, and electric vehicles cannot meet the long-distance travel requirements.

It can be said that in the 1930s, the development of low-cost and emerging technologies in fuel vehicles was rapid. The ebb-and-drop electric vehicles went its own way. The fuel vehicles completed Jedi counterattacks and the internal combustion engine dominated the world.

At the end of the last century, electric vehicles had a brief recovery under the policy drive. In response to the government's call, in the 1980s and 1990s, Japanese and American automobile manufacturers produced a series of electric vehicles, such as Ford Ecostar, GangerEV, Chrysler TEVan, Toyota RAV4EV, Honda EVPlus, etc., and the most famous was General Motors. Production of EV1 electric car.

However, automobile manufacturers and oil companies have tried their best to obstruct the development of electric vehicles for their own benefit. Secondly, there is no breakthrough in the development of electric vehicle technology. There are no fundamental solutions to the problems of short mileage and slow charging. The electric car went through a brief flash of light during this period of time and fell silent again.

The rise and fall of the development of electric vehicles, to this day, Tesla's high-profile appearance let electric cars re-enter the vision of today's public. According to the US media motor1, Tesla's global sales of new cars reached 76,230 units in 2016, an increase of 50.7% compared to 2015. Internet companies have also started to use electric vehicles as an entry point, investing in factories.

This wave of electric vehicle wave foreground geometry? Is it a repetition of history or a general trend?

The former 360 vice president, Shen Haijun, joined an electric car startup project after leaving 360 in May 2015. His recent sharing mentioned the technical obstacles in the development of electric vehicles and gave us a good inspiration.

The biggest obstacle to the development of electric vehicles has been the manufacturing cost of electric vehicles. The cost of really making a pure electric car is much higher than that of a fuel car. Where are the main costs of pure electric vehicles? Only one is the battery. The cost of the battery accounts for almost 1/3 or even 1/2 of the cost of the entire electric car.

In the seven years from 2007 to 2014, the cost of manufacturing electric vehicle batteries in the United States dropped from US$1,000 to US$400 per kilowatt-hour. At this rate, it is expected that in 2024, the cost of the battery can be reduced to more than 100 US dollars. At that time, the era of globally popularized electric cars came completely.

At the same time, under the increasingly stringent government standards, the cost of internal combustion engines for fuel vehicles is actually rising. Especially in such large cities as Beijing, they have taken the lead in demanding the implementation of the "National Five Standards," which poses a great challenge to the cost of engine manufacturers' R&D and manufacturing.

Over the past 100 years, the development of the automotive industry has focused on making engines more efficient and making automotive engines more efficient. This is where all automakers have played PK for more than a hundred years.

But today, electric cars do not need to work hard at this point, because as long as the motor power is large enough, it will be more efficient than any gasoline engine. It can make our car a super sports car every minute. The advantage of new energy vehicles is that it avoids the very complex industrial structure of the original traditional automobiles and reaches a new height.

Through the parameters of the two electric vehicles in the industry, it can also be seen that the technology of electric vehicles is being rapidly iteratively developed.

BYD e6400 models equipped with a set of 82kWh battery pack, the maximum cruising range reached 400km, BYD e6 motor total power of 90kW, motor total torque of 450N · m.

The Tesla Models product line is very long, with battery capacities ranging from 60 to 100 kWh. The 60kWh lithium-ion battery pack equipped with the entry-level MODELS has a maximum cruising range of 400km and a 100km speedup of only 5.8s. The top model MODELSP100D has a cruising range of 613km, the total power of the motor is adjusted to 568kW, and the peak torque is nearly 1000N. This also makes this car become the fastest car in the pure electric production car acceleration, 2.7s can break 100.

Originally, fuel vehicles relied on technology updates to catch up with electric vehicles. With advances in battery technology, electric vehicles will one day complete counterattacks and regain new life. In addition to the government's support and encouragement, the accelerated construction of charging settings, and the general public's deepening of the concept of environmental protection trips, we have reason to believe that electric vehicles will no longer rush through the clouds.